Sara Cakarevic vs Marie Mattel Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Marie Mattel has recently performed slightly better on her second serve, securing 40.69% of points compared to Sara Cakarevic's 39.09%. Does this slight edge hint at a potential advantage for Mattel? Yes, especially considering the correlation between second serve points and match outcomes.
• In terms of returning, Mattel also holds a narrow lead on second serve returns, winning 50.94% of her opponent's points versus Cakarevic's 49.14%.
• However, Cakarevic exhibits superior first serve return stats, with 35.67% compared to Mattel’s 30.92%. Could this balance out the second serve advantage? It might, under specific match conditions.
• Under pressure, Cakarevic shows resilience, saving 58.85% of breakpoints, compared to Mattel's 52.08%. This could be crucial if the match becomes tight.
• Marie Mattel boasts a higher overall match win rate over the past year at 61.11%, while Cakarevic's is 38.10%. This historical context suggests Mattel might have the edge.
• Player strengths fluctuate with surface types: Mattel excels on indoor hard courts, winning 55%, whereas Cakarevic performs best on hard courts with the same winning percentage.
• Both players mainly compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments. However, Mattel has faced slightly tougher competition, with opponents having an average rank of 395.5 compared to Cakarevic’s 434.52.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Mattel's chances rise as she has won 50% of such matches, compared to Cakarevic's 38%.

Editorial Prediction (October 30, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match between Marie Mattel and Sara Cakarevic approaches, several comparative factors lean toward Mattel. Her slightly superior second-serve points and return performance hint at a tactical upper hand, particularly with the higher correlation these stats hold with victory.

Cakarevic, while strong under breakpoint pressure, faces a tougher challenge given her lower overall win rate and less favorable deciding set outcomes. The pressure-handling capability might serve her well if the match remains close, but the statistics suggest it is a steep climb.

Mattel's consistent success against slightly stronger opponents and her decisive match track record give her a favorable outlook. While surface preferences might alter dynamics slightly, the overall analysis suggests that Marie Mattel is the more likely victor in this matchup.